198. Why even inflation-linked bonds are letting you down

Dickie Hodges, manager of Nomura Global Dynamic Bond fund, gives listeners an explanation as to why all bonds – including inflation-linked bonds – have had negative returns this year. In a very frank and educational podcast, he explains how the current environment is impacting bonds, gives his view on how high interest rates could go, and whether it’s a matter of when, not if, a recession begins. Dickie ends the podcast with some thoughts on what bond investor could expect in 2023 and 2024 and reveals what has happened to the Russian bonds the fund held earlier this year.
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Nomura Global Dynamic Bond is an unconstrained strategic bond fund, with a focus on total returns. It is managed by the charismatic Richard ‘Dickie’ Hodges, who blends two approaches when building his portfolio. First, he studies the state of the global economy and identifies which sectors and investment themes look most attractive. He then undertakes fundamental analysis, to populate his preferred areas with ideas. Dickie invests in the entire range of bond sectors including government bonds, corporate bonds, emerging market bonds and inflation-linked bonds.

What’s covered in this podcast:

  • Why bond returns have been negative this year
  • If bond markets could fall further
  • Why inflation-linked bonds have also let down investors
  • How high interest rates could go in the UK and US
  • If recession is likely in the UK and US
  • Why it’s a certainty that Europe will go into recession
  • If we could see a repeat of the European Sovereign Debt Crisis
  • Why it’s difficult to value assets in this environment
  • Why 2023 and 2024 could be good opportunities for bond investors
  • What has happened to the Russian bonds the fund held earlier this year
This article is provided for information only. The views of the author and any people quoted are their own and do not constitute financial advice. The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any fund or trust, or to adopt a particular investment strategy. However, the knowledge that professional analysts have analysed a fund or trust in depth before assigning them a rating can be a valuable additional filter for anyone looking to make their own decisions. Past performance is not a reliable guide to future returns. Market and exchange-rate movements may cause the value of investments to go down as well as up. Yields will fluctuate and so income from investments is variable and not guaranteed. You may not get back the amount originally invested. Tax treatment depends of your individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. If you are unsure about the suitability of any investment you should seek professional advice. Whilst FundCalibre provides product information, guidance and fund research we cannot know which of these products or funds, if any, are suitable for your particular circumstances and must leave that judgement to you. Before you make any investment decision, make sure you’re comfortable and fully understand the risks. Further information can be found on Elite Rated funds by simply clicking on the name highlighted in the article.

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