
Orbis Global Cautious

Orbis Global Cautious invests globally across a number of asset classes including equities, fixed income and commodities. The fund seeks to apply a cautious balance between investment returns and risk of loss using a global diversified portfolio and targets growth on a three-year rolling basis.
Our Opinion
Fund Manager
Fund Manager

Alec Cutler, Fund manager Alec, a Director at Orbis Holdings Limited since 2004, holds a Bachelor of Science (Honours) in Naval Architecture from the United States Naval Academy and an MBA from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He is also a Chartered Financial Analyst. Before joining Orbis, Alec spent 10 years at Brandywine Asset Management, LLC, where he managed the Relative Value strategy, co-managed the Large Cap Value area, and was a member of the Executive Committee.
Fund Performance
Risk
Company Description
Investment process
This fund follows the wider process at Orbis of being contrarian, long-term global investors - searching for intrinsic value in the market. The firm has a bank of around 50 analysts globally, working on in-depth company research across different regions – this is in addition to the eight-strong multi-asset team. All fund managers can see analyst recommendations in real time, and have access to any report or document that any Orbis analyst has ever written about a company. The multi-asset team also brings its own equity and fixed income ideas to the table – with a focus on moderate-risk equities.
The process begins with quantitative and qualitative screening to identify potential areas of interest. This is followed by three phases of fundamental research, designed to find the most promising ideas. The first phase sees an analyst spending a day working on a specific idea/area – any ideas are then discussed between the analyst and the portfolio manager. The second phase is a deeper analysis, which could involve a team meeting on the idea. The final phase is an intensive look at a potential holding, which involves one person leading on the position and a further two members of the team working directly with that person.
The next stage is called Thesis Defence. This is a policy group meeting which acts as a forum for peers to review the potential addition and find possible red flags. The final stage is security selection. The fund is fairly concentrated with around 100-120 positions. Alec directly manages both the equity and currency hedging, with input from the group’s quant and currency analysts. Positions are held with a three to five-year time horizon.
There are subtle differences between this portfolio and the Balanced vehicle. Orbis Global Cautious will typically have double the exposure to fixed income, which will include lower/no allocation to the likes of high yield and a greater focus on government treasuries and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPs). The increased fixed income exposure means there is roughly half the amount held in equities (compared to the Orbis Global Balanced fund). Within this allocation, Alec is likely to have less exposure to higher-risk equity names. A good example of the increased risk awareness is their exposure to gold, where the team will have a greater allocation to physical gold over gold equities.
A unique element of this fund is that it has no ongoing charges. Instead, Orbis charge a 40 per cent outperformance fee if the fund outperforms its benchmark (30% MSCI World Index and 70% JP Morgan Global Government Bond Index hedged into Sterling).
These performance fees flow into a revenue reserve where they are held to be used as refunds for future underperformance (the fund refunds at a rate of 40 per cent of underperformance against the fund’s stated benchmark).
The manager's fee is taken from the reserve pot – this is the lesser of a third of the reserve or 2.5 per cent of the net asset value of the fund annually. The move is designed to create a fee structure which aligns the asset manager’s interests with clients.
Risk
The contrarian nature, coupled with the focus on intrinsic value, mean this fund is very active in nature, with the bottom-up stock selection likely to result in significant dispersion in performance from its peers. Alec and the team have taken big bets against the market in the past – such as moving out of a number of US growth stocks in 2017-2018 and moving into out-of-favour sectors trading well below their historical average. Because this fund invests in companies around the world, there is also the risk of being adversely affected by changes in foreign currency exchange rates, however this is mitigated to a greater degree within the cautious portfolio.
ESG
While the team do not exclude any company based on ESG factors – the team do believe if a company makes money in a manner that is not sustainable from an ESG perspective, then they are unlikely to have much conviction in its current profit levels being sustained.
As a result, ESG is evaluated at each stage of the aforementioned investment process. When conducting fundamental research, the team will identify and analyse ESG risks affecting a particular company and integrate all material ESG factors into their assessment of intrinsic value. At the Thesis Defense stage, All Phase 3 research reports submitted to the policy group will include a section on ESG, meanwhile participants can submit ESG-related questions for discussion in the meeting.
ESG risks can also impact position-sizing decisions at the best ideas stage, while the team are heavily focused on their stewardship responsibilities for any holding. This can range from engaging with investee companies to encourage improvement in their ESG performance; voting at shareholder meetings; and monitoring material ESG factors at investee companies.
Orbis is a signatory to the UN-supported Principles for Responsible Investment.